covid-19-analysis/Analyser.py

447 lines
17 KiB
Python

# -*- coding: utf-8 -*-
"""
Project: Analyse worldwide COVID-19 Data and provide graphs etc.
@author Patrick Müller
"""
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import tkinter as tk
import random
"""
Fields in csv:
dateRep
day
month
year
cases
deaths
countriesAndTerritories
geoId
countryterritoryCode
popData2019
"""
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
class Analyser:
def __init__(self):
# Pandas Settings
pd.set_option('display.max_row', 50)
pd.set_option('display.max_column', 10)
self.df = pd.read_csv('statsfile.csv')
self.df['dateRep'] = pd.to_datetime(self.df['dateRep'], format='%d/%m/%Y')
# Calculate total Numbers for each country
self.df['totalCases'] = 0
self.df['totalDeaths'] = 0
self.df['deathRate'] = 0
for country in self.df['countriesAndTerritories'].unique():
countryData = self.df[self.df['countriesAndTerritories'].isin([country])]
countryData = countryData.sort_values('dateRep')
countryData['totalCases'] = countryData['cases'].cumsum()
countryData['totalDeaths'] = countryData['deaths'].cumsum()
countryData['deathRate'] = countryData['totalDeaths'] / countryData['totalCases'] * 100
self.df.update(countryData)
print('DEBUG: Analyser initialized')
def getAvailableCountries(self):
sorted = self.df.sort_values('countriesAndTerritories')
return sorted['countriesAndTerritories'].unique()
def getAvailableDates(self):
retList = []
for date in self.df['dateRep'].unique():
# To only get the substring in the format YYYY-MM-DD
retList.append(str(date)[:10])
retList.sort()
return retList
def getCasesGraph(self, country, start_date='2019-12-31', end_date=datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d'),
plotDpi=200.0, showPlot=False) -> str:
"""
Get a graph with the absolute number of cases by day for the entered country
:param country: The country you wish to get the graph for
:param start_date: The start date of the graph
:param end_date: The end date of the graph
:param showPlot: Whether to show the plot or only return the file path
:return: The path for the picture of the graph
"""
if country in self.getAvailableCountries():
fig = plt.figure()
fig.dpi = plotDpi
ax = fig.add_subplot(111)
plt.title(('Total cases in ' + country))
countryData = self.df[self.df['countriesAndTerritories'].isin([country])]
countryData = countryData.sort_values('dateRep')
countryData['7-Day-Mean'] = countryData['totalCases'].rolling(7).mean()
mask = (countryData['dateRep'] >= start_date) & (countryData['dateRep'] <= end_date)
countryTimeData = countryData.loc[mask]
countryTimeData.plot(ax=ax, x='dateRep', y='totalCases')
countryTimeData.plot(ax=ax, x='dateRep', y='7-Day-Mean')
if showPlot:
plt.show(block=True)
filePath = ('graphs/casesGraph_' + country + '_' + datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d'))
fig.savefig(filePath)
plt.close(fig)
return filePath
else:
print('Unknown country')
return '-1'
def getCaseIncreaseGraph(self, country, start_date='2019-12-31', end_date=datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d'),
plotDpi=200.0, showPlot=False) -> str:
"""
Get a graph with the daily increase number of cases for the entered country
:param country: The country you wish to get the graph for
:param start_date: The start date of the graph
:param end_date: The end date of the graph
:param showPlot: Whether to show the plot or only return the file path
:return: The path for the picture of the graph
"""
if country in self.getAvailableCountries():
fig = plt.figure()
fig.dpi = plotDpi
ax = fig.add_subplot(111)
plt.title(('Daily new cases in ' + country))
countryData = self.df[self.df['countriesAndTerritories'].isin([country])]
countryData = countryData.sort_values('dateRep')
countryData['7-Day-Mean'] = countryData['cases'].rolling(7).mean()
mask = (countryData['dateRep'] >= start_date) & (countryData['dateRep'] <= end_date)
countryTimeData = countryData.loc[mask]
countryTimeData.plot(ax=ax, x='dateRep', y='cases')
countryTimeData.plot(ax=ax, x='dateRep', y='7-Day-Mean')
if showPlot:
plt.show(block=True)
filePath = ('graphs/casesIncreaseGraph_' + country + '_' + datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d'))
fig.savefig(filePath)
plt.close(fig)
return filePath
else:
print('Unknown country')
return '-1'
def getTotalCases(self, country, date=datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d')) -> int:
"""
Get the total cases for the entered country and date
:param country: The country you want the case number for. Access available countries via getAvailableCountries()
:param date: The date for which the case number is returned. Standard is the current date. Format YYYY-MM-DD
:return: The case number
"""
countryData = self.df[self.df['countriesAndTerritories'].isin([country])]
mask = (countryData['dateRep'] <= date)
countryTimeData = countryData.loc[mask]
return countryTimeData['cases'].sum()
def getDeathGraph(self, country, start_date='2019-12-31', end_date=datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d'),
plotDpi=200.0, showPlot=False) -> str:
"""
Get a graph with the absolute number of cases by day for the entered country
:param country: The country you wish to get the graph for
:param start_date: The start date of the graph
:param end_date: The end date of the graph
:param showPlot: Whether to show the plot or only return the file path
:return: The path for the picture of the graph
"""
if country in self.getAvailableCountries():
fig = plt.figure()
fig.dpi = plotDpi
ax = fig.add_subplot(111)
plt.title(('Total deaths in ' + country))
countryData = self.df[self.df['countriesAndTerritories'].isin([country])]
countryData = countryData.sort_values('dateRep')
countryData['7-Day-Mean'] = countryData['totalDeaths'].rolling(7).mean()
mask = (countryData['dateRep'] >= start_date) & (countryData['dateRep'] <= end_date)
countryTimeData = countryData.loc[mask]
countryTimeData.plot(ax=ax, x='dateRep', y='totalDeaths')
countryTimeData.plot(ax=ax, x='dateRep', y='7-Day-Mean')
if showPlot:
plt.show(block=True)
filePath = ('graphs/deathsGraph_' + country + '_' + datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d'))
fig.savefig(filePath)
plt.close(fig)
return filePath
else:
print('Unknown country')
return '-1'
def getDeathIncreaseGraph(self, country, start_date='2019-12-31', end_date=datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d'),
plotDpi=200.0, showPlot=False) -> str:
"""
Get a graph with the daily increase number of cases for the entered country
:param country: The country you wish to get the graph for
:param start_date: The start date of the graph
:param end_date: The end date of the graph
:param showPlot: Whether to show the plot or only return the file path
:return: The path for the picture of the graph
"""
if country in self.getAvailableCountries():
fig = plt.figure()
fig.dpi = plotDpi
ax = fig.add_subplot(111)
plt.title(('Daily new deaths in ' + country))
countryData = self.df[self.df['countriesAndTerritories'].isin([country])]
countryData = countryData.sort_values('dateRep')
countryData['7-Day-Mean'] = countryData['deaths'].rolling(7).mean()
mask = (countryData['dateRep'] >= start_date) & (countryData['dateRep'] <= end_date)
countryTimeData = countryData.loc[mask]
countryTimeData.plot(ax=ax, x='dateRep', y='deaths')
countryTimeData.plot(ax=ax, x='dateRep', y='7-Day-Mean')
if showPlot:
plt.show(block=True)
filePath = ('graphs/deathsIncreaseGraph_' + country + '_' + datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d'))
fig.savefig(filePath)
plt.close(fig)
return filePath
else:
print('Unknown country')
return '-1'
def getTotalDeaths(self, country, date=datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d')) -> int:
"""
Get the total deaths for the entered country and date
:param country: The country you want the case number for. Access available countries via getAvailableCountries()
:param date: The date for which the case number is returned. Standard is the current date. Format YYYY-MM-DD
:return: The case number
"""
countryData = self.df[self.df['countriesAndTerritories'].isin([country])]
mask = (countryData['dateRep'] <= date)
countryTimeData = countryData.loc[mask]
return countryTimeData['deaths'].sum()
def getDailyDeathRateGraph(self, country, start_date='2019-12-31', end_date=datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d'),
plotDpi=200.0, showPlot=False) -> str:
"""
Get a graph with the daily increase number of cases for the entered country
:param country: The country you wish to get the graph for
:param start_date: The start date of the graph
:param end_date: The end date of the graph
:param showPlot: Whether to show the plot or only return the file path
:return: The path for the picture of the graph
"""
if country in self.getAvailableCountries():
fig = plt.figure()
fig.dpi = plotDpi
ax = fig.add_subplot(111)
plt.title(('Daily death rate in ' + country) + ' in %')
countryData = self.df[self.df['countriesAndTerritories'].isin([country])]
countryData = countryData.sort_values('dateRep')
countryData['7-Day-Mean'] = countryData['deathRate'].rolling(7).mean()
mask = (countryData['dateRep'] >= start_date) & (countryData['dateRep'] <= end_date)
countryTimeData = countryData.loc[mask]
countryTimeData.plot(ax=ax, x='dateRep', y='deathRate')
countryTimeData.plot(ax=ax, x='dateRep', y='7-Day-Mean')
if showPlot:
plt.show(block=True)
filePath = ('graphs/dailyDeathRateGraph_' + country + '_' + datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d'))
fig.savefig(filePath)
plt.close(fig)
return filePath
else:
print('Unknown country')
return '-1'
def getDeathRate(self, country, date=datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d')) -> int:
"""
Get the death rate for the entered country and date
:param country: The country you want the case number for. Access available countries via getAvailableCountries()
:param date: The date for which the case number is returned. Standard is the current date. Format YYYY-MM-DD
:return: The case number
"""
countryData = self.df[self.df['countriesAndTerritories'].isin([country])]
mask = (countryData['dateRep'] <= date)
countryTimeData = countryData.loc[mask]
return (countryTimeData['deaths'].sum() / countryTimeData['cases'].sum() * 100)
def getIsItOverGraph(self, country, plotDpi=200.0, showPlot=False) -> str:
"""
Get a logarhytmic graph that shows easily if the exponential growth has stopped.
:param country: The country to be compared. TODO: Change to a list of countries
:param showPlot: If a plot is to be shown in the console
:return: The file path for the plot
"""
countryString = country
fig = plt.figure()
fig.dpi = plotDpi
ax = fig.add_subplot(111)
plt.title('Is it going to end soon in ' + countryString + '?')
ax.set_ylabel('Case Increase')
ax.set_xlabel('Total Cases')
for index, country in enumerate([country, 'China', 'South_Korea'], start=1):
countryTimeData = self.df[self.df['countriesAndTerritories'].isin([country])]
countryTimeData = countryTimeData.sort_values('dateRep')
countryTimeData[country] = countryTimeData['cases'].rolling(7).mean()
try:
countryTimeData.plot(ax=ax, x='totalCases', y=country, loglog=True)
except:
print('Error occured')
if showPlot:
plt.show(block=True)
filePath = ('graphs/isItOverGraph_' + countryString + '_' + datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d'))
fig.savefig(filePath)
plt.close()
return filePath
def getIncreasePercentageGraph(self, country, start_date='2019-12-31', end_date=datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d'),
plotDpi=200.0, showPlot=False) -> str:
fig = plt.figure()
fig.dpi = plotDpi
ax = fig.add_subplot(111)
plt.title('Daily Percentage of Case Increase in ' + country)
countryData = self.df[self.df['countriesAndTerritories'].isin([country])]
countryData = countryData.sort_values('dateRep')
countryData['increasePercentage'] = countryData['cases'] / countryData['totalCases'] * 100
countryData['7-Day-Mean'] = countryData['increasePercentage'].rolling(7).mean()
mask = (countryData['dateRep'] >= start_date) & (countryData['dateRep'] <= end_date)
countryTimeData = countryData.loc[mask]
countryTimeData.plot(ax=ax, x='dateRep', y='increasePercentage')
countryTimeData.plot(ax=ax, x='dateRep', y='7-Day-Mean')
if showPlot:
plt.show(block=True)
filePath = ('graphs/increasePercentageGraph_' + country + '_' + datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d'))
fig.savefig(filePath)
plt.close()
return filePath
def getCasesPerMillionGraph(self, country, plotDpi=200.0, showPlot=False) -> str:
fig = plt.figure()
fig.dpi = plotDpi
ax = fig.add_subplot(111)
plt.title('Cases per Million Citizens in ' + country + ' compared to top 20')
date = self.getAvailableDates()[len(self.getAvailableDates())-1]
timeData = self.df
mask = (timeData['dateRep'] == date)
timeData = timeData.loc[mask]
timeData = timeData.sort_values('countriesAndTerritories')
timeData['casesPerMillion'] = ((timeData['totalCases'] / timeData['popData2019']) * 1000000)
largestData = timeData.nlargest(20, 'casesPerMillion')
if country not in largestData['countriesAndTerritories'].unique():
largestData = largestData.append(timeData.loc[timeData['countriesAndTerritories'] == country])
largestData = largestData.reset_index()
largestData.plot.bar(ax=ax, x="countriesAndTerritories", y="casesPerMillion")
# Highlight the selected country
for ticks in ax.xaxis.get_major_ticks():
if ticks.label1.get_text() == country:
index = largestData.index[largestData['countriesAndTerritories'] == country]
ax.patches[int(index.values[0])].set_facecolor('r')
if showPlot:
plt.show(block=True)
filePath = ('graphs/casesPerMillionGraph_' + country + '_' + datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d'))
fig.savefig(filePath)
plt.close()
return filePath
def getDeathsPerMillionGraph(self, country, plotDpi=200.0, showPlot=False) -> str:
fig = plt.figure()
fig.dpi = plotDpi
ax = fig.add_subplot(111)
plt.title('Deaths per Million Citizens in ' + country + ' compared to top 20')
date = self.getAvailableDates()[len(self.getAvailableDates())-1]
timeData = self.df
mask = (timeData['dateRep'] == date)
timeData = timeData.loc[mask]
timeData = timeData.sort_values('countriesAndTerritories')
timeData['deathsPerMillion'] = ((timeData['totalDeaths'] / timeData['popData2019']) * 1000000)
largestData = timeData.nlargest(20, 'deathsPerMillion')
if country not in largestData['countriesAndTerritories'].unique():
largestData = largestData.append(timeData.loc[timeData['countriesAndTerritories'] == country])
largestData = largestData.reset_index()
largestData.plot.bar(ax=ax, x="countriesAndTerritories", y="deathsPerMillion")
# Highlight the selected country
for ticks in ax.xaxis.get_major_ticks():
if ticks.label1.get_text() == country:
index = largestData.index[largestData['countriesAndTerritories'] == country]
ax.patches[int(index.values[0])].set_facecolor('r')
if showPlot:
plt.show(block=True)
filePath = ('graphs/deathsPerMillionGraph_' + country + '_' + datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d'))
fig.savefig(filePath)
plt.close()
return filePath
def getDoubleRateCompareGraph(self, country, plotDpi=200.0, showPlot=False) -> str:
fig = plt.figure()
fig.dpi = plotDpi
ax = fig.add_subplot(111)
plt.title('Double Rate Forecast vs Reality in ' + country)
data = self.df
mask = (data['countriesAndTerritories'] == country)
data = data.loc[mask]
data = data.sort_values('dateRep')
data['doubleRateForecast'] = data['totalCases'] / data['cases']
data['doubleRateReality'] = None
data = data.reset_index()
for index in data.index.values:
indexData = data.iloc[index]
# If there are cases in this country already
if indexData['totalCases'] > 0:
double = int(indexData['totalCases']) * 2
doubleDay = data.loc[(data['totalCases'] >= double)]
# If there is a day with double the value of cases
if len(doubleDay['dateRep'].unique()) > 0:
doubleDay = doubleDay.loc[(doubleDay['dateRep'] == doubleDay['dateRep'].unique()[0])]
indexDayDatetime = datetime.strptime(str(indexData['dateRep'])[:10], '%Y-%m-%d')
doubleDayDatetime = datetime.strptime(str(doubleDay['dateRep'].values)[2:12], '%Y-%m-%d')
difference = (doubleDayDatetime - indexDayDatetime).days
copyData = data.loc[(data['dateRep'] == indexData['dateRep'])]
copyData['doubleRateReality'] = difference
data.update(copyData)
data.plot(ax=ax, x='dateRep', y='doubleRateForecast')
data.plot(ax=ax, x='dateRep', y='doubleRateReality')
if showPlot:
plt.show(block=True)
filePath = ('graphs/doubleRateCompareGraph_' + country + '_' + datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d'))
fig.savefig(filePath)
plt.close()
return filePath